Inverted Yield Curves

Last Update: 26 Apr 2024 8:15 GMT+0

27 countries have an inverted yield curve.

An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment in which long-term bonds have a lower yield than short-term ones.

An inverted yield curve is often considered a predictor of economic recession.

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Detailed domestic spreads

The convexity of the yield curve can be estimated calculating the spread between Government Bonds with long, medium and short maturity.

If the spread between the 10 years and the 2 years Government Bond is negative, it's a strong signal of totally inverted yield curve.

Signals of partially or minimally inverted yield curve are a negative 5Y vs 2Y spread or a negative 2Y vs 1Y spread.

Cells with red background shows an inverted yield case.
Cells with yellow background shows a flat yield case.
If data are not all visible, swipe table left
Country Long vs Short Term
10Y vs 2Y Spread
Mid vs Short Term
5Y vs 2Y Spread
Short Term
2Y vs 1Y Spread
Turkey
Ukraine
Pakistan
Iceland
Russia
Kazakhstan
Mexico
Malta
Denmark
Canada
Slovenia
Germany
Norway
United States
Sweden
Netherlands
Switzerland
Qatar
United Kingdom
Ireland
France
Hungary
Finland
Lithuania
Singapore
Austria
Hong Kong
Latvia
New Zealand
Croatia
Belgium
India
Spain
Bangladesh
Indonesia
Slovakia
South Korea
Colombia
Portugal
Czech Republic
Taiwan
Cyprus
Chile
Australia
Italy
China
Thailand
Israel
Greece
Poland
Morocco
Nigeria
Kenya
Philippines
Malaysia
Japan
Serbia
Romania
Vietnam
Bulgaria
Bahrain
Brazil
Uganda
Mauritius
Namibia
Sri Lanka
Perù
South Africa
Egypt
Zambia