Zambia Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
ZAMBIA

The Zambia 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 22.210%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Zambia 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 409.9 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Zambia Central Bank Rate stands at 14.00%, following the most recent adjustment in November 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Zambia credit rating is SD.

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Zambia Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Zambia Yield Curve
Zambia Government Bonds
17 November 2024

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Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
6 months 11.064% -193.2 bp -143.8 bp -140.2 bp 94.89 +0.87 % +0.65 % +0.63 % 1.053 15 Nov
9 months 11.562% -327.2 bp -173.8 bp -135.5 bp 92.12 +2.19 % +1.16 % +0.91 % 1.085 15 Nov
1 year 12.646% -539.8 bp -535.5 bp -247.3 bp 88.77 +4.79 % +4.74 % +2.19 % 1.126 15 Nov
2 years 18.111% -307.6 bp +561.1 bp +376.7 bp 71.68 +5.27 % -9.28 % -6.28 % 1.395 15 Nov
3 years 11.739% -416.1 bp -682.1 bp -687.0 bp 71.68 +11.60 % +19.47 % +19.61 % 1.395 15 Nov
5 years 19.368% -262.9 bp -271.6 bp -378.3 bp 41.26 +11.51 % +11.91 % +16.88 % 2.423 15 Nov
7 years 21.794% -254.6 bp -184.6 bp -246.8 bp 25.15 +15.58 % +11.09 % +15.05 % 3.975 15 Nov
10 years 22.210% -352.0 bp -285.0 bp -383.0 bp 13.46 +32.87 % +25.91 % +36.23 % 7.431 17 Nov
15 years 23.554% -408.6 bp -343.2 bp -369.9 bp 4.19 +63.04 % +50.72 % +55.76 % 23.869 15 Nov
Last Update: 17 Nov 2024, 0:15 GMT+0

Zambia Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

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Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Nov 2024 n.a. n.a. 11.064 12.646 18.111 11.739 19.368 21.794 22.210 n.a. 409.9
Dec 2023 n.a. n.a. 12.501 18.501 13.278 18.722 23.623 24.162 25.500 n.a. 1222.2
Dec 2022 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 30.520 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2021 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 25.000 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2020 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 38.000 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2019 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 32.500 n.a. n.a.

Zambia Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
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2Y vs 1Y 546.5 bp Yield Curve is flat in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y 125.7 bp Normal Convexity in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 409.9 bp Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (14.00%)
1 year 2 years 5 years
10 years 22.210% 821.0bp
5 years 19.368%
536.8bp
2 years 18.111%
411.1bp
1 year 12.646%
-135.4bp

Zambia Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's SD - 22 Oct 2020 rating downgrade
Moody's Investors Service Caa2 - 17 Jun 2024 rating upgrade
Fitch Ratings RD - 18 Nov 2020 rating downgrade
DBRS - -

Zambia Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 14.00%
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Zambia 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Zambia 10Y Government Bond has a 22.210% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Zambia 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 2114.3 bp -363.1 bp -296.9 bp -416.3 bp
vs China 10Y 2012.0 bp -352.8 bp -261.7 bp -324.9 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1987.0 bp -366.2 bp -267.0 bp -358.6 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1915.3 bp -366.7 bp -262.6 bp -329.8 bp
vs France 10Y 1913.6 bp -366.1 bp -291.0 bp -375.3 bp
vs Canada 10Y 1894.0 bp -360.7 bp -246.5 bp -339.0 bp
vs Italy 10Y 1866.4 bp -365.8 bp -256.6 bp -301.6 bp
vs United States 10Y 1776.6 bp -386.7 bp -287.4 bp -383.1 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 1775.0 bp -388.8 bp -319.1 bp -419.5 bp
vs Australia 10Y 1756.6 bp -385.9 bp -320.0 bp -400.0 bp
vs India 10Y 1539.0 bp -344.4 bp -257.5 bp -343.8 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 931.0 bp -361.6 bp -410.3 bp -574.6 bp
vs Russia 10Y 648.6 bp -299.9 bp -357.4 bp -755.9 bp

Zambia Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
15 years 23.554% 4.19 8.26 16.39 24.53 32.66 40.80
10 years 22.210% 13.46 17.35 25.15 32.94 40.73 48.53
7 years 21.794% 25.15 28.59 35.46 42.33 49.19 56.06
5 years 19.368% 41.26 44.30 50.36 56.43 62.49 68.56
3 years 11.739% 71.68 74.09 78.92 83.74 88.57 93.39
2 years 18.111% 71.68 73.25 76.37 79.50 82.63 85.75
1 year 12.646% 88.77 89.66 91.44 93.21 94.99 96.76
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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