Thailand Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
THAILAND

The Thailand 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 2.435%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

Thailand Central Bank Rate stands at 2.25%, following the most recent adjustment in October 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Thailand credit rating is BBB+.

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Thailand Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Thailand Yield Curve
Thailand Government Bonds
21 November 2024

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Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
1 year 2.378% 97.68 1.023 01 Aug
2 years 2.365% 95.43 1.047 01 Aug
3 years 2.115% -1.5 bp -23.5 bp -44.5 bp 93.91 +0.04 % +0.69 % +1.31 % 1.064 20 Nov
4 years 2.304% 91.29 1.095 01 Aug
5 years 2.225% +5.3 bp -33.4 bp -43.7 bp 89.58 -0.26 % +1.65 % +2.16 % 1.116 20 Nov
7 years 2.275% -11.5 bp n.a. -63.0 bp 85.43 +0.79 % n.a. +4.39 % 1.170 20 Nov
10 years 2.435% +5.5 bp -39.4 bp -55.6 bp 78.62 -0.53 % +3.91 % +5.57 % 1.271 20 Nov
12 years 2.662% 72.96 1.370 01 Aug
14 years 2.724% 68.64 1.456 01 Aug
15 years 2.590% +3.0 bp -45.3 bp -63.6 bp 68.14 -0.44 % +6.82 % +9.71 % 1.467 20 Nov
16 years 2.992% 62.39 1.602 01 Aug
20 years 2.870% -1.0 bp -43.2 bp -56.9 bp 56.78 +0.19 % +8.73 % +11.66 % 1.761 20 Nov
Last Update: 21 Nov 2024, 0:15 GMT+0

Thailand Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

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Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Nov 2024 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 2.115 2.225 2.275 2.435 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2023 n.a. n.a. n.a. 2.330 n.a. 2.380 n.a. n.a. 2.688 n.a. n.a.
Dec 2022 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.156 1.495 n.a. 2.004 2.242 2.490 n.a. 99.5
Dec 2021 n.a. n.a. n.a. 0.465 0.641 0.726 1.344 1.581 1.918 n.a. 127.7
Dec 2020 n.a. n.a. n.a. 0.305 0.389 0.361 0.500 0.927 1.128 n.a. 73.9
Dec 2019 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.194 1.138 1.262 1.244 1.334 1.465 n.a. 32.7
Dec 2018 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.680 1.930 2.000 2.110 2.450 2.450 n.a. 52.0
Dec 2017 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.420 1.590 1.535 1.880 2.220 2.355 n.a. 76.5
Dec 2016 n.a. n.a. n.a. 1.580 1.770 n.a. 2.280 2.500 2.700 n.a. 93.0

Thailand Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (2.25%)
5 years
10 years 2.435% 18.5bp
5 years 2.225%
-2.5bp

Thailand Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's BBB+ - 14 Apr 2020 outlook downgrade
Moody's Investors Service Baa1 - 21 Apr 2020 outlook downgrade
Fitch Ratings BBB+ - 17 Mar 2020 outlook downgrade
DBRS - -

Thailand Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 2.25%
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Thailand 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Thailand 10Y Government Bond has a 2.435% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Thailand 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 136.3 bp -5.7 bp -49.8 bp -93.0 bp
vs China 10Y 34.7 bp +9.1 bp -15.9 bp +3.6 bp
vs Germany 10Y 8.2 bp -0.9 bp -23.9 bp -33.5 bp
vs Spain 10Y -64.1 bp -0.2 bp -19.6 bp -6.2 bp
vs France 10Y -67.1 bp -2.3 bp -50.4 bp -52.8 bp
vs Canada 10Y -95.0 bp -7.4 bp -17.4 bp -25.9 bp
vs Italy 10Y -114.3 bp -0.3 bp -16.9 bp +20.5 bp
vs United States 10Y -196.6 bp -15.2 bp -38.0 bp -55.1 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y -202.9 bp -27.5 bp -72.6 bp -88.4 bp
vs Australia 10Y -219.2 bp -19.7 bp -72.9 bp -73.3 bp
vs India 10Y -450.4 bp +6.6 bp -25.5 bp -22.6 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -1043.7 bp -5.6 bp -163.9 bp -232.0 bp
vs Russia 10Y -1370.2 bp +21.2 bp -238.1 bp -465.3 bp

Thailand Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
20 years 2.870% 56.78 71.84 101.96 132.07 162.19 192.30
15 years 2.590% 68.14 80.44 105.04 129.64 154.24 178.84
10 years 2.435% 78.62 87.40 104.96 122.52 140.09 157.65
7 years 2.275% 85.43 91.83 104.64 117.45 130.26 143.07
5 years 2.225% 89.58 94.26 103.63 112.99 122.36 131.73
3 years 2.115% 93.91 96.79 102.55 108.30 114.06 119.81
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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