Kenya Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
KENYA

The Kenya 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 16.000%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Kenya 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 136 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Kenya Central Bank Rate stands at 12.00%, following the most recent adjustment in October 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Kenya credit rating is B-.

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Kenya Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Kenya Yield Curve
Kenya Government Bonds
21 November 2024

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Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
3 months 15.988% 96.36 1.037 01 Aug
6 months 16.850% 92.51 1.080 01 Aug
1 year 16.921% 85.53 1.169 01 Aug
2 years 14.640% -183.0 bp -298.9 bp +93.0 bp 76.09 +3.21 % +5.29 % -1.62 % 1.314 20 Nov
3 years 14.104% -170.1 bp -330.4 bp -328.4 bp 67.31 +4.53 % +8.93 % +8.88 % 1.485 20 Nov
4 years 14.956% -159.0 bp -295.3 bp -346.1 bp 57.26 +5.65 % +10.67 % +12.58 % 1.746 20 Nov
5 years 15.487% -127.8 bp -262.2 bp -300.6 bp 48.68 +5.67 % +11.88 % +13.71 % 2.054 20 Nov
6 years 15.538% -132.2 bp -268.2 bp -301.3 bp 42.04 +7.08 % +14.77 % +16.71 % 2.378 20 Nov
7 years 16.500% -72.0 bp -197.3 bp -193.7 bp 34.33 +4.41 % +12.45 % +12.23 % 2.912 20 Nov
8 years 16.220% -89.0 bp -196.7 bp -196.9 bp 30.04 +6.30 % +14.35 % +14.35 % 3.328 20 Nov
9 years 16.080% -101.0 bp -192.6 bp -185.0 bp 26.13 +8.11 % +15.93 % +15.26 % 3.826 20 Nov
10 years 16.000% -108.0 bp -191.0 bp -179.9 bp 22.67 +9.73 % +17.77 % +16.68 % 4.411 20 Nov
15 years 16.060% -93.0 bp -114.5 bp -119.7 bp 10.71 +12.74 % +15.91 % +16.67 % 9.337 20 Nov
20 years 16.130% -62.0 bp -98.8 bp -120.8 bp 5.02 +11.06 % +18.40 % +22.74 % 19.901 20 Nov
25 years 16.130% -45.0 bp -99.9 bp -125.2 bp 2.38 +10.19 % +23.96 % +30.77 % 42.034 20 Nov
Last Update: 21 Nov 2024, 0:15 GMT+0

Kenya Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

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Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Nov 2024 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. 14.640 14.104 15.487 16.500 16.000 n.a. 136.0
Dec 2023 n.a. 15.983 15.967 16.100 16.359 17.629 18.855 18.908 18.454 n.a. 209.5
Dec 2022 n.a. 9.369 9.834 10.308 11.678 12.714 13.893 14.003 14.326 n.a. 264.8
Dec 2021 n.a. 7.264 7.982 9.265 9.793 10.521 11.949 12.561 13.168 n.a. 337.5
Dec 2020 n.a. 6.906 7.400 8.348 9.271 9.945 10.442 11.232 11.975 n.a. 270.4
Dec 2019 n.a. 7.200 8.150 9.815 10.372 10.587 11.759 11.762 12.508 n.a. 213.6
Dec 2018 n.a. 7.341 8.257 9.735 10.900 11.050 11.750 12.000 12.600 n.a. 170.0
Dec 2017 n.a. 8.005 10.583 11.128 11.550 12.300 12.500 12.850 13.200 n.a. 165.0
Dec 2016 n.a. 8.561 10.493 11.024 12.250 12.643 13.313 13.743 14.087 n.a. 183.7

Kenya Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
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5Y vs 2Y 84.7 bp Normal Convexity in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 136.0 bp Normal Convexity in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (12.00%)
2 years 5 years
10 years 16.000% 400.0bp
5 years 15.487%
348.7bp
2 years 14.640%
264.0bp

Kenya Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's B- - 26 Aug 2024 rating downgrade
Moody's Investors Service Caa1 negative 9 Jul 2024 rating downgrade
Fitch Ratings B- - 2 Aug 2024 rating downgrade
DBRS - -

Kenya Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 12.00%
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Kenya 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Kenya 10Y Government Bond has a 16.000% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Kenya 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 1492.8 bp -119.2 bp -201.4 bp -217.3 bp
vs China 10Y 1391.2 bp -104.4 bp -167.5 bp -120.7 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1364.7 bp -114.4 bp -175.5 bp -157.8 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1292.4 bp -113.7 bp -171.2 bp -130.5 bp
vs France 10Y 1289.4 bp -115.8 bp -202.0 bp -177.1 bp
vs Canada 10Y 1261.5 bp -120.9 bp -169.0 bp -150.2 bp
vs Italy 10Y 1242.2 bp -113.8 bp -168.5 bp -103.8 bp
vs United States 10Y 1159.9 bp -128.7 bp -189.6 bp -179.4 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 1153.6 bp -141.0 bp -224.2 bp -212.7 bp
vs Australia 10Y 1137.3 bp -133.2 bp -224.5 bp -197.6 bp
vs India 10Y 906.1 bp -106.9 bp -177.1 bp -146.9 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 312.8 bp -119.1 bp -315.5 bp -356.3 bp
vs Russia 10Y -13.7 bp -92.3 bp -389.7 bp -589.6 bp

Kenya Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
25 years 16.130% 2.38 8.43 20.54 32.64 44.74 56.85
20 years 16.130% 5.02 10.91 22.69 34.47 46.24 58.02
15 years 16.060% 10.71 16.27 27.39 38.51 49.63 60.75
10 years 16.000% 22.67 27.50 37.17 46.83 56.50 66.17
9 years 16.080% 26.13 30.73 39.91 49.10 58.29 67.48
8 years 16.220% 30.04 34.36 42.98 51.61 60.23 68.86
7 years 16.500% 34.33 38.31 46.27 54.23 62.19 70.15
6 years 15.538% 42.04 45.77 53.23 60.69 68.15 75.61
5 years 15.487% 48.68 51.99 58.62 65.25 71.88 78.50
4 years 14.956% 57.26 60.12 65.84 71.55 77.27 82.98
3 years 14.104% 67.31 69.63 74.27 78.90 83.54 88.17
2 years 14.640% 76.09 77.72 80.99 84.26 87.52 90.79
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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