Kazakhstan Government Bonds - Yields Curve

COUNTRY • SUMMARY
KAZAKHSTAN

The Kazakhstan 10-Year Government Bond currently offers a yield of 13.121%. This yield reflects the return investors can expect if they hold the bond until maturity. Government bond yields are critical indicators of economic confidence and investor sentiment.

The yield spread between Kazakhstan 10-Year and 2-Year government bonds is 12.1 basis points (bp), reflecting the difference in yields between long-term and short-term debt.
Typically, long-term bonds carry higher yields than short-term ones.
Current observation: Yield Curve is flat in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities.

Kazakhstan Central Bank Rate stands at 14.25%, following the most recent adjustment in July 2024.

According to Standard & Poor's agency, the Kazakhstan credit rating is BBB-.

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Kazakhstan Yield Curve

A Yield Curve is a graph that shows the relationship between interest rates (or yields) and different maturities of debt for a specific borrower, often government bonds. It typically plots yields on the y-axis and maturities on the x-axis, ranging from short-term to long-term bonds.

The shape of the yield curve gives investors insights into market expectations for interest rates, economic growth, and inflation. A normal yield curve, where long-term rates are higher than short-term, suggests economic growth, while an inverted curve, where short-term rates are higher, can indicate an upcoming recession.

Kazakhstan Yield Curve
Kazakhstan Government Bonds
21 November 2024

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Residual
Maturity
Annualized Yield Constant Maturity Zero Coupon Price Capital
Growth
of 1 Unit
Last
Update
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M
1 month 13.829% 98.93 1.010 30 Oct
6 months 12.843% n.a. n.a. -319.8 bp 94.14 n.a. n.a. +1.41 % 1.062 19 Nov
1 year 13.307% -0.1 bp n.a. -208.3 bp 88.26 0.00 % n.a. +1.85 % 1.133 20 Nov
2 years 13.000% 0.0 bp n.a. -146.5 bp 78.31 0.00 % n.a. +2.61 % 1.276 20 Nov
3 years 13.000% 0.0 bp n.a. -146.1 bp 69.31 0.00 % n.a. +3.94 % 1.442 20 Nov
4 years 13.005% +0.5 bp n.a. -117.0 bp 61.32 -0.02 % n.a. +4.20 % 1.630 20 Nov
5 years 12.988% +1.3 bp n.a. -80.8 bp 54.30 -0.07 % n.a. +3.63 % 1.841 20 Nov
6 years 12.995% -29.5 bp n.a. -57.4 bp 48.04 +1.56 % n.a. +3.07 % 2.081 20 Nov
7 years 12.895% +0.5 bp n.a. -58.2 bp 42.78 -0.05 % n.a. +3.66 % 2.337 20 Nov
8 years 13.198% -29.8 bp n.a. -6.5 bp 37.09 +2.12 % n.a. +0.46 % 2.695 20 Nov
9 years 13.195% -29.6 bp n.a. +22.6 bp 32.78 +2.41 % n.a. -1.77 % 3.051 20 Nov
10 years 13.121% +2.1 bp n.a. +38.7 bp 29.15 -0.17 % n.a. -3.35 % 3.431 20 Nov
15 years 13.164% +2.0 bp n.a. +63.7 bp 15.65 -0.25 % n.a. -8.10 % 6.391 20 Nov
25 years 13.220% +2.0 bp n.a. +95.3 bp 4.49 -0.44 % n.a. -18.95 % 22.288 20 Nov
Last Update: 21 Nov 2024, 0:15 GMT+0

Kazakhstan Yield History

This table presents the historical values of the yield curve, with data points collected at the end of each year.

By analyzing these values over time, one can observe trends and shifts in economic sentiment and monetary policy that impact investor expectations about future interest rates and economic growth.

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Government Bonds Yield (%)
Spread (bp)
Period 1M 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y 5Y 7Y 10Y 30Y 10Y - 2Y
Nov 2024 n.a. n.a. 12.843 13.307 13.000 13.000 12.988 12.895 13.121 n.a. 12.1
Dec 2023 18.004 17.090 16.083 14.630 14.295 14.300 13.791 13.567 12.936 n.a. -135.9
Dec 2022 n.a. n.a. n.a. 16.635 16.563 16.329 15.875 15.509 14.508 n.a. -205.5

Kazakhstan Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.

The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

Internal Spread on Key Maturities:
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2Y vs 1Y -30.7 bp Yield Curve is flat in Short-Term Maturities
5Y vs 2Y -1.2 bp Yield Curve is inverted in Mid-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
10Y vs 2Y 12.1 bp Yield Curve is flat in Long-Term vs Short-Term Maturities
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (14.25%)
1 year 2 years 5 years
10 years 13.121% -112.9bp
5 years 12.988%
-126.2bp
2 years 13.000%
-125.0bp
1 year 13.307%
-94.3bp

Kazakhstan Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation).

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Rating Agency Rating Outlook Last Update Action
Standard & Poor's BBB- - 6 Mar 2023 outlook upgrade
Moody's Investors Service Baa1 - 11 Sep 2024 rating upgrade
Fitch Ratings BBB - 29 Apr 2016 rating downgrade
DBRS - -

Kazakhstan Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 14.25%
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Kazakhstan 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The Kazakhstan 10Y Government Bond has a 13.121% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.
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Kazakhstan 10Y vs Current Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Chg 12M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 1204.9 bp -9.1 bp +81.4 bp +1.3 bp
vs China 10Y 1103.3 bp +5.7 bp +115.3 bp +97.9 bp
vs Germany 10Y 1076.8 bp -4.3 bp +107.3 bp +60.8 bp
vs Spain 10Y 1004.5 bp -3.6 bp +111.6 bp +88.1 bp
vs France 10Y 1001.5 bp -5.7 bp +80.8 bp +41.5 bp
vs Canada 10Y 973.6 bp -10.8 bp +113.8 bp +68.4 bp
vs Italy 10Y 954.3 bp -3.7 bp +114.3 bp +114.8 bp
vs United States 10Y 872.0 bp -18.6 bp +93.2 bp +39.2 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 865.7 bp -30.9 bp +58.6 bp +5.9 bp
vs Australia 10Y 849.4 bp -23.1 bp +58.3 bp +21.0 bp
vs India 10Y 618.2 bp +3.2 bp +105.7 bp +71.7 bp
vs Brazil 10Y 24.9 bp -9.0 bp -32.7 bp -137.7 bp
vs Russia 10Y -301.6 bp +17.8 bp -106.9 bp -371.0 bp

Kazakhstan Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.
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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
25 years 13.220% 4.49 11.71 26.16 40.61 55.06 69.51
15 years 13.164% 15.65 22.05 34.87 47.69 60.50 73.32
10 years 13.121% 29.15 34.55 45.35 56.15 66.95 77.75
9 years 13.195% 32.78 37.87 48.06 58.25 68.44 78.63
8 years 13.198% 37.09 41.86 51.39 60.92 70.46 79.99
7 years 12.895% 42.78 47.22 56.09 64.97 73.84 82.72
6 years 12.995% 48.04 52.04 60.04 68.04 76.03 84.03
5 years 12.988% 54.30 57.82 64.86 71.90 78.93 85.97
4 years 13.005% 61.32 64.30 70.24 76.19 82.14 88.09
3 years 13.000% 69.31 71.67 76.39 81.11 85.83 90.56
2 years 13.000% 78.31 79.98 83.32 86.66 89.99 93.33
1 year 13.307% 88.26 89.14 90.90 92.67 94.43 96.20
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
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